Sunday, October 28, 2012

Updated playoff seeds predictions after week 9

So after week 9 has been completed, my predictions remain the same. This is the way I see things falling after week 10 is done, but there are some key games that could change the landscape a little bit. Here's what I have after week 9 with the predicted average points the teams will finish with in their schedules this fall.
Note: This is all speculation and by no means is official or final.

1. Downingtown East (143)
2. Ridley (141)
3. Pennridge (134)
4. Plymouth-Whitemarsh (129)
5. CB South (121)
6. Pennsbury (117)
7. Unionville (115)
8. Coatesville (108) the Red Raiders would win the tiebreaker with Rustin due to record vs. common opponents.
9. Rustin (108)
10. Garnet Valley (107)
11. Perk Valley (102)
12. Haverford (99)
13. Spring-Ford (98)
14. Neshaminy (96)
15. Abington (92)
16. Downingtown West (88)

There are some big games around the District this upcoming weekend.

Starting locally, if Downingtown East would lose to West Chester Henderson, they'd likely settle in at 4.

Unionville travels to Kennett on Saturday. Kennett will likely be on the outside looking in with a loss to the Indians. If they can manage a win they could vault up to the 11-12 seed range, and even pass Unionville. The Indians should get in, win or lose, but a win would get them a first-round home game probably.

Downingtown West has a Saturday game, as well, at Bishop Shanahan. Depending on how things go Friday, this game is pretty much do or die. A loss and the Whippets will miss the playoffs for the 3rd straight season. They will have their eye on a couple games Friday night for certain, starting in Souderton, who hosts North Penn.

If Souderton can knock off a North Penn team that needs a ton of help to sneak into the playoffs, it will jump Downingtown West, to around 13-14, knocking the Whippets out. A North Penn win would give it around 85 points, and that would only get the Knights in with losses by Kennett, Wissahickon and West.

Wissahickon is playing a 3A playoff team, Upper Moreland (6-3). If the Trojans can get a win there they have a good chance of bumping the Whippets, as well.

Garnet Valley and Haverford play a huge Central League matchup. Now, I'm going with the Jaguars because they have played more big games in recent years and have some additional motivation that may show itself after the season, but Haverford is a very good team and I don't think many would be surprised to see the Fords win their 9th game this season. If Haverford does win, it could pass Unionville, forcing a Unionville-Coatesville matchup. A Fords' win would also push the Jaguars to the brink, giving them around the same number of points as the Whippets would have.

The final game to watch is Perk Valley (7-2) against Spring-Ford (8-1). The Vikings lost a tight one against undefeated Pottsgrove last Friday. I'm going with Perk Valley to rebound, but it wouldn't be a major upset if the Rams were winners here. If so, Spring-Ford would be in the same point range as Unionville, and potentially Haverford, if both win.


In the 3A, it looks like Henderson is a lock to make the 8-team bracket, but a loss to Downingtown East probably sends them on the road off the bat.

Nate Heckenberger

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